Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 11.635035 13.047750 14.663453 16.671170 19.132546 22.097740 26.014100
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 10.895270 12.909784 15.429018 18.904594 23.739855 30.514949 41.336072
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 10.066807 12.352635 15.382902 19.877540 26.746288 37.623934 58.280160
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 8.885640 11.118552 14.178634 18.916023 26.589775 39.765792 68.137502
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.202248 10.454199 13.639742 18.782801 27.621893 44.171973 85.435864
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.614570 9.848982 13.091690 18.512250 28.313100 48.153895 105.323947
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.181010 9.416356 12.739537 18.483513 29.405334 53.388899 134.977091
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.870064 9.130853 12.573273 18.728726 31.066669 60.704447 184.540406
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.440738 8.629946 12.012114 18.187831 30.987013 63.618954 222.418406
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.161444 8.336566 11.756505 18.163851 32.012462 70.184427 302.677222
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.795238 7.882778 11.196712 17.494586 31.433667 71.656313 355.722559
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.421651 7.396631 10.548914 16.588258 30.138650 70.305847 381.843123
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.072162 6.946432 9.958966 15.791530 29.113986 70.050871 433.204164
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.211375 7.284646 10.744922 17.842994 35.796695 104.655538 2194.618034
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.152788 7.293303 10.950001 18.732419 39.811844 135.416298 47970.962835
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.860596 6.894317 10.382403 17.853383 38.336156 134.215314 451056.869481
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.690443 6.692078 10.163197 17.731427 39.207260 149.542090 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.517881 6.476339 9.902980 17.483632 39.619530 163.029507 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.384994 6.321445 9.746083 17.457302 40.787572 185.585804 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.290340 6.227205 9.697312 17.681913 42.940026 224.271939 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.121839 5.996197 9.368912 17.186280 42.296727 232.411723 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.015407 5.869500 9.236677 17.164292 43.490823 268.676413 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.852858 5.637173 8.883479 16.550066 42.179000 267.039291 NaN